Here's my prediction I entered in the Washington Post "Pick Your President" contest. I'm actually less optimistic than this, but I figured if the unexpected happens I have a better chance of winning.
The entry form lets you provide an explanation with your picks...here's what I said:
Obama picks up a couple of states over Kerry's take from 2004. Marginal states that could have gone his way don't because of blowback from the still-developing ACORN scandal.Who knows?